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2024-12-13 23:56:44

Goldman Sachs: I don't agree that gold can't reach $3,000 under a strong dollar. Goldman Sachs said that we don't agree with the view that the price of gold can't rise to $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025 when the dollar remains strong for a long time. We predict that gold will reach $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025, and the reduction of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (rather than the strengthening of the US dollar) is the downside risk of this prediction.Huatai Securities: The expected recovery and fundamental stabilization of the real estate market are expected to accelerate under the policy blessing. Huatai Securities Research Report said that on December 9, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting, stressing that it would "implement more active and promising macro policies" and pointed out that it would "stabilize the property market and stock market". Since the end of September, continuous favorable policies have supported fundamental improvement. The central government reiterated its support for real estate at key meetings, which means that there may be more room for policy support next year, and a more relaxed environment is expected to consolidate this improvement trend. The expected repair and fundamental stabilization of the real estate market are expected to accelerate under the blessing of policies. In the follow-up, we should still pay attention to the sustainability of market volume and price recovery and the progress of macro-support policies, purchasing and storage, urban village reconstruction and other policies. Before confirming the bottom of the market, we are more optimistic about housing enterprises with more resources and stable operation in core cities; At the same time, property management companies with resilient performance and stable cash flow are also expected to benefit from the market's stabilization.Institution: In November, the average price of second-hand residential buildings in Baicheng dropped by 0.57% month-on-month. According to the 100-city price index of China's real estate index system, in November 2024, the average price of second-hand residential buildings in Baicheng fell by 0.57% month-on-month, narrowing by 0.03 percentage points from last month. It fell by 7.29% year-on-year. In November, the average price of second-hand residential buildings in the top ten cities fell by 0.17% month-on-month, which was 0.16 percentage points lower than that of the previous month. It fell by 7.16% year-on-year, and the decline was narrowed by 0.36 percentage points from the previous month. In terms of cities, the prices of second-hand houses in Shenzhen and Chengdu rose by 0.21% and 0.12% respectively. Nanjing had the largest decline from the previous month, with 0.60%; Wuhan, Hangzhou and Tianjin followed closely, with decreases of 0.43%, 0.42% and 0.31% respectively. Guangzhou, Shanghai and Beijing all experienced month-on-month declines of 0.1%-0.3%; Chongqing (the main city) has the smallest decline of 0.07%. In terms of year-on-year, Wuhan and Nanjing experienced large year-on-year declines, accounting for 10.82% and 10.24% respectively. Chongqing (the main city), Beijing, Hangzhou and Shanghai all experienced year-on-year declines of 7%-9%; The prices of second-hand houses in Tianjin, Guangzhou and Chengdu all fell by 5-7% year-on-year; Shenzhen fell by 4.42% year on year.


Institution: In November, the average price of second-hand residential buildings in Baicheng dropped by 0.57% month-on-month. According to the 100-city price index of China's real estate index system, in November 2024, the average price of second-hand residential buildings in Baicheng fell by 0.57% month-on-month, narrowing by 0.03 percentage points from last month. It fell by 7.29% year-on-year. In November, the average price of second-hand residential buildings in the top ten cities fell by 0.17% month-on-month, which was 0.16 percentage points lower than that of the previous month. It fell by 7.16% year-on-year, and the decline was narrowed by 0.36 percentage points from the previous month. In terms of cities, the prices of second-hand houses in Shenzhen and Chengdu rose by 0.21% and 0.12% respectively. Nanjing had the largest decline from the previous month, with 0.60%; Wuhan, Hangzhou and Tianjin followed closely, with decreases of 0.43%, 0.42% and 0.31% respectively. Guangzhou, Shanghai and Beijing all experienced month-on-month declines of 0.1%-0.3%; Chongqing (the main city) has the smallest decline of 0.07%. In terms of year-on-year, Wuhan and Nanjing experienced large year-on-year declines, accounting for 10.82% and 10.24% respectively. Chongqing (the main city), Beijing, Hangzhou and Shanghai all experienced year-on-year declines of 7%-9%; The prices of second-hand houses in Tianjin, Guangzhou and Chengdu all fell by 5-7% year-on-year; Shenzhen fell by 4.42% year on year.China Huaneng and Huawei signed a strategic cooperation agreement. On December 6th, China Huaneng Group Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Huaneng") and Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Huawei") signed a strategic cooperation agreement. Wen Shugang, Chairman and Party Secretary of Huaneng Group, held talks and witnessed the signing of the contract with Meng Wanzhou, rotating chairman and CFO of Huawei, and jointly unveiled Huaneng-Huawei New Energy joint innovation lab. According to the agreement, the two sides will continue to deepen strategic cooperation in the fields of clean energy cooperation, digital transformation cooperation, the establishment of joint innovation lab, and corporate culture exchange.Galaxy Securities: The equity market rebounded, and the improved double-low strategy exceeded 9% during the year. According to china galaxy Securities, the last cycle (11.26-12.9) recorded 2.3%, 1.7% and 3.2% respectively (the benchmark for the same period was 2.7%). Since the beginning of this year, the performance of the three types of strategies has been 8.5%, 8.6% and 15.1% respectively (the benchmark for the same period is 6.6%), and the cumulative excess rate of return is 2-9%. In the last cycle, the equity market rebounded and repaired. Wandequan A rose by 4.05%, and CSI convertible bonds followed (2.68%), among which the double-low style (3.25%) rose higher, and the low-price enhancement and low-price large-market strategy slightly underperformed the benchmark, and the double-low improvement strategy continued to dominate.


Galaxy Securities: Macro-policies have increased the accumulation of positive factors in bank fundamentals. The china galaxy Securities Research Report said that the macro-policy upgrade has exceeded expectations and supported the growth of bank credit. Bank spreads are still under pressure, but the release of debt cost optimization results is expected to form support. Preventing and resolving the risk orientation in key areas remains unchanged, and the asset quality and risk expectation of banks are expected to benefit. The positive factors in the fundamentals of banking operations have accumulated, and we will continue to be optimistic about the allocation value of the banking sector and maintain the recommended rating. For individual stocks, ICBC, China Construction Bank, Postal Savings Bank, Jiangsu Bank and Changshu Bank are recommended.Desai Siwei and Infineon jointly set up an innovative application center. Recently, the signing and unveiling ceremony of Desai Siwei-Infineon innovative application center and the signing ceremony of the memorandum of cooperation on intelligent driving domain control were held in Huizhou. At present, Desai Siwei and Infineon are relying on the Innovation Application Center to jointly define the MCU chip architecture of the future EEA, test the performance and evaluate the reliability of TC4x MCU devices, so as to provide innovative solutions to customers. In the future, Desai Siwei will join hands with Infineon to carry out joint technical research in two key areas: intelligent driving and cockpit, and accelerate the commercialization of more innovative product technical solutions.In addition to the front page content, today's People's Daily's main financial contents include: 1. Steady development of new quality productive forces-China Economic Observation in 2024 ③; 2. About 100 flying rainbow bridges built and under construction in China cross the blue ocean (new economic orientation); 3. VAT invoice data shows that the retail sales of household appliances increased by 74.4% in November. 4. The General Administration of Market Supervision regulates the whole process of business marketing behavior to prevent the waste of take-away catering; 5. China-Europe trains reach 227 cities in 25 countries in Europe, connecting more than 100 cities in 11 Asian countries, sending goods over 11 million TEUs and goods worth over 420 billion US dollars-crossing mountains and seas, and the "steel camel team" adds momentum to the world economy (building the "Belt and Road" and the first site); 6. Continue to play the role of the biggest engine of world economic growth (harmony); 7. Accelerate the arrival of "Digital Wisdom Future" (vertical and horizontal); 8. Continue to expand new consumption scenarios and new formats (everyone talks); 9. What do you think of the "China scenery" in the world economy (current economic question and answer in China)? 10. The two departments will further improve the working mechanism of centralized drug collection and implementation, and encourage the priority use of selected drugs and consumables; 11. Give full play to the role of bidding competition to help the standardized and healthy development of the bidding market (the way of governance); 12. The national economy is progressing steadily (number 2024); 13. Improve the quality and efficiency of life insurance management and do a good job in pension finance; 14. The global robot industry accelerates innovation and development (international perspective). In 2023, the number of newly installed industrial robots in China exceeded half of the world; 15. The active format of the new service consumption market characterized by digital and green is released to "new" vitality (consumption window, promoting the expansion and upgrading of service consumption); 16. Create more abundant new products for the integration of literature and tourism (market stroll); 17. CNCA issued an action plan to improve the quality management system certification of small and micro enterprises, improve product quality and increase quality supply (consumption kaleidoscope).

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